The Impact of Income Inequality on Tax Structure in Iran

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Professor, Department of Economics, Faculty of Social and Economic Sciences, Alzahra University, Tehran, Iran

2 Senior expert in the Department of Economics, Faculty of Social and Economic Sciences, Alzahra University, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

In this article, the impact of income inequality (measured by both the Gini coefficient and the share of the
( top) wealthiest ten percent to the poorest ten percent) on tax structure in Iran in the period of 1978-2020 by using the ARDL model is investigated. The results showed that both in the short and long term, income inequality (both measures of income inequality) has increased the ratio of indirect taxes to GDP. While its impact on the direct tax ratio was negative. Therefore, income inequality leads to the turning of the tax capacity from direct taxes to indirect taxes. Therefore, the tax system in Iran has not been progressive and relies on indirect taxes. This result can be justified by the structure of Iran's economy, which is not easy to collect direct taxes due to the underground economy and tax evasion and the government is relying on indirect taxes to earn income.

Keywords


  • Acemoglu, D., & Robinson, J. (2008). Persistence of power, elites, and institutions. American Economic Review98(1), 267-293.
  • Acemoglu, D., & Robinson, J. (2012). Por que as nações fracassam? as origens da prosperidade e da pobreza. Rio de Janeiro. Editora Campus.
  • Agranov, M., & Palfrey, T. R. (2015). Equilibrium tax rates and income redistribution: A laboratory study. Journal of Public Economics, 130, 45-58.
  • Aizenman, J., & Jinjarak, Y. (2012). Income inequality, tax base and sovereign spreads(No. w18176). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • Atkinson, A. B., & Stiglitz, J. E. (1976). The design of tax structure: Direct versus indirect taxation. Journal of Public Economics, 6(1-2), 55-75.
  • Atkinson, T. (2015). What can be done about inequality?. Juncture22(1), 32-41.
  • Bastagli, F., Coady, D., & Gupta, S. (2012). Income inequality and fiscal policy. IMF Staff Discussion Note. SDN/12/08.
  • Bénabou, R. (2000). Unequal societies: income distribution and the social contract. American Economic Review, 91(1), 96-129.
  • Bénabou, R. (2005). Inequality, technology, and the social contract. Working Paper 10371
  • Berg, A., Ostry, J. D., & Zettelmeyer, J. (2012). What makes growth sustained?. Journal of Development Economics98(2), 149-166.
  • Boustan, L., Ferreira, F., Winkler, H., & Zolt, E. M. (2013). The effect of rising income inequality on taxation and public expenditures: Evidence from US municipalities and school districts, 1970–2000. Review of Economics and Statistics95(4), 1291-1302.
  • Chaudhry, I. S., & Munir, F. (2010). Determinants of low tax revenue in Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Social Sciences30(2), 439-452.
  • Chu, K. Y., Davoodi, H., & Gupta, S. (2004). Income distribution and tax and government social spending policies in developing countries. In G. A. Cornia (ed) Inequality, Growth, and Poverty in an Era of Liberalization and Globalization. Oxford University Press on Demand.
  • Cingano, F. (2014). Trends in income inequality and its impact on economic growth. OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers, No. 163.
  • Clotfelter, C.T. (1983). Tax evasion and tax rates: An analysis of individual returns. Econ. Stat., 65 (3), 363-373.
  • Coelho, J. C., & Alves, J. (2021). Two-way relationship between inequality and growth within fiscal policy channel: an empirical assessment for European countries. Econpaper, No 2021/0205, Working Papers REM
  • De Mello, L., & Tiongson, E.R. (2006). Income inequality and redistributive government spending. Public Financ. Rev., 34 (3), 282-305.
  • Decoster, A., Loughrey, J., O'Donoghue, C., & Verwerft, D. (2010). How regressive are indirect taxes? A microsimulation analysis for five European countries. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management29(2), 326-350.
  • Diamond, P. A., & Mirrlees, J. A. (1971). Optimal taxation and public production II: Tax rules. The American Economic Review61(3), 261-278.
  • Duncan, D., & Sabirianova Peter, K. (2008). Tax progressivity and income inequality. Andrew Young School of Policy Studies Research Paper Series, (08-26).
  • Gornick, J. C., & Jäntti, M. (2014). Income Inequality: Economic Disparities and the Middle Class in Affluent Countries. Stanford University Press.
  • Gorodnichenko, Y., Martinez-Vazquez, J., & Sabirianova Peter, K. (2009). Myth and reality of flat tax reform: Micro estimates of tax evasion response and welfare effects in Russia. Journal of Political Economy117(3), 504-554.
  • Gründler, K., & Köllner, S. (2017). Determinants of governmental redistribution: Income distribution, development levels, and the role of perceptions. Journal of Comparative Economics, 45(4), 930-962.
  • Hicks, J. R. (1939). Value and Capital. Oxford University Press.
  • Islam, M. R., Madsen, J. B., & Doucouliagos, H. (2018). Does inequality constrain the power to tax? Evidence from the OECD. European Journal of Political Economy52, 1-17.
  • Jaumotte, F., & Osorio Buitron, C. (2020). Inequality: Traditional drivers and the role of union power. Oxford Economic Papers, 72(1), 25-58.
  • Karakotsios, A. (2020). Examining the relationship between income inequality, taxation and economic freedom: a panel cointegration approach. Economics and Business Letters, 739898418.
  • Kennedy, T., Smyth, R., Valadkhani, A., & Chen, G. (2017). Does income inequality hinder economic growth? New evidence using Australian taxation statistics. Economic Modelling65, 119-128.
  • Kuhn, A. (2019). The subversive nature of inequality: Subjective inequality perceptions and attitudes to social inequality. European Journal of Political Economy, 59, 331-344.
  • Kuznets, S. (1955). Economic growth and income inequality. American Economic Review, 45(1), 1-28.
  • Martinez-Vazquez, J., Moreno-Dodson, B., & Vulovic, V. (2014). The impact of tax and expenditure policies on income distribution: Evidence from a large panel of countries.  Review of Public Economics, 200 (4), 95-130.
  • Moene, K.O., & Wallerstein, M. (2001). Inequality, social insurance and redistribution. Polit. Sci. Rev., 95 (4), 859-874.
  • North, D. C. (1990). Institutions, institutional change and economic performance. Cambridge University Press.
  • Nwidobie, B. M. (2021). Income inequality and tax evasion in Nigeria. International Journal of Critical Accounting, 12(3), 206-228.
  • Persson, T., & Tabellini, G. (1991). Is inequality harmful for growth? Theory and evidence. The American Economic Review, 84(3), 600-621.
  • Pickering, A., & Rajput, S. (2018). Inequality and the composition of taxes. International Tax and Public Finance, 25(4), 1001-28.
  • Piketty, T. (2014). Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Cambridge, MA: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.
  • Piketty, T., Saez, E., & Stantcheva, S. (2014). Optimal taxation of top labor incomes: A tale of three elasticities. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy6(1), 230-271.
  • Poterba, J. M. (2007). Income inequality and income taxation. Journal of Policy Modeling29(4), 623-633.
  • Ramsey, F. P. (1927). A Contribution to the theory of taxation. The Economic Journal37(145), 47-61.
  • Roine, J., Vlachos, J., & Waldenström, D. (2009). The long-run determinants of inequality: What can we learn from top income data?. Journal of Public Economics93(7-8), 974-988.
  • Slemrod, J., & Bakija, J. M. (2000). Does growing inequality reduce tax progressivity? Should it?. National Bureau of Economic Research Cambridge, Mass.
  • Stiglitz, J. E. (2017). El Precio de la Desigualdad: El 1% de la Población Tiene lo Que el 99% Necesita. Madrid: Taurus Pensamiento.
  • Vartia, L. (2008). How do taxes affect investment and productivity?: An industry-level analysis of OECD countries. OECD Economics Department Working Paper No. 656.
  • Woo, J., Bova, M. E., Kinda, M. T., & Zhang, M. Y. S. (2013). Distributional consequences of fiscal consolidation and the role of fiscal policy: what do the data say?. International Monetary Fund.